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Automation, economic hardships threaten low-skilled employment

Automation, economic hardships threaten low-skilled employment
Business

The global and domestic labor markets are undergoing a profound transformation driven by the rapid rise of Artificial Intelligence (AI), automation, digital technology, and rising production costs.

In Bangladesh, this shift is creating a dual challenge where the overall economy continues to grow, but the generation of traditional employment is failing to keep pace.

Experts warn that workers involved in routine, low-skilled, or highly repetitive tasks face the greatest risk of displacement over the upcoming years.

A recent World Bank report highlights this growing vulnerability, estimating that roughly 7% of jobs across South Asia are directly threatened by AI integration, even as the technology opens up avenues to boost productivity in about 15% of other specialized roles.

The readymade garment (RMG) industry, which serves as the primary backbone of the economy by employing nearly 4 million people, is witnessing an aggressive push toward automation to remain globally competitive.

Factory owners, squeezed by high global interest rates and cooling consumer spending in Western markets, are increasingly replacing manual labor with automated cutting machines and robotic sewing technology.

Data from the research organization Rapid reveals that between 2013 and 2023, the manufacturing sector saw a decline of 1.4 million jobs—dropping from 9.5 million to 8.1 million—despite maintaining a robust annual growth rate of 10%.

This phenomenon of "jobless growth" is acutely visible in modern factories, where a single automated sweater machine can now produce up to 30 items a day compared to just five on a manual machine, reducing the required workforce on factory floors by nearly two-thirds.

The traditional banking sector is experiencing a similar contraction as mobile financial services, automated customer care platforms, and digital apps reduce the need for physical  branch infrastructure. Routine administrative roles, data entry operations, and cash department positions are gradually shrinking as institutions prioritize tech-savvy professionals over workers with static corporate skill sets.

This consolidation mirrors global trends where multinational banking giants like HSBC have laid out roadmaps to trim thousands of positions in favor of AI-driven digital ecosystems.

Similarly, AI-powered chatbots and automated software are heavily pressuring customer support centers and general bookkeeping departments, executing tasks that previously required large operational teams.

Evolving dynamics

Other consumer-facing industries, such as retail and media, are also adapting to new technological realities.

Large supermarkets and retail chains are transitioning toward automated billing, online ordering, and digital payments, which minimizes the long-term demand for cashiers and manual inventory keepers.

In the media landscape, routine translation work, basic content synthesis, and press release processing are increasingly being handled by automated writing tools, raising the performance bar for entry-level professionals.

Even the transport and logistics sectors are experiencing gradual adjustments as smart tracking systems and computerized ticketing frameworks replace manual ledger and scheduling roles.

The contraction of traditional job categories is exacerbating an already fragile employment situation for the nation's youth.

Over the past decade, approximately 140 million young individuals entered the domestic labor market, yet formal sectors generated only 8.7 million positions, leaving 5.3 million youth without formal employment.

S.M./CitizenTimes